V. 20 (2023): Policrisi. Europa, Mediterraneo e scenari globali
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L’Europa volge lo sguardo al futuro: Un rapporto sul foresight della Commissione Europea

Roberto Covino
Università degli Studi di Napoli "Federico II"

Pubblicato 2024-07-26 — Aggiornato il 2024-07-28

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Abstract

This paper examines the foresight activities of the European Commission through a content analysis of its strategic forecasting reports. The European Union has recognized the importance of foresight in navigating an uncertain future, especially in the aftermath of the Ukraine war and the COVID-19 pandemic. The Commission has established a dedicated task force for foresight, consisting of a General Secretariat and a Joint Research Centre, to guide its implementation. The paper highlights the significance of climate change and digital transformation as central themes in the Commission’s foresight efforts. It explores the geopolitical, economic, social, and regulatory factors influencing the success of the EU’s dual transitions towards climate neutrality and digitalization.